The Prediction Market for Broken Promises

Kofi Adams

Sports

PENDING

"Minister Kofi Adams pledged two months of his salary to the newly established Sports Fund following Parliament's approval of the Sports Fund Bill, calling it a demonstration of sup..."

"Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong expressed optimism that the Digital Asset Market Structure Clarity Act could reach a win-win-win conclusion by April 2026, benefiting crypto institutio..."

"Spineway CEO Stéphane Le Roux announced that the company will release its first-quarter 2026 revenue results on April 30, 2026, following the company's General Meeting where shareh..."

Bill Hagerty

Cryptocurrency

PENDING

"Senator Hagerty promised to advance the CLARITY Act through the Senate Banking Committee during the work period starting April 13, 2026, with the goal of having it out of committee..."

"Upstart confirmed that co-founder and CTO Paul Gu will succeed Dave Girouard as the company's new CEO, effective May 1, 2026. The leadership transition includes new appointments fo..."

"The Consumer Technology Association announced that Kinsey Fabrizio will become President and CEO, with the leadership transition effective May 1, 2026. Gary Shapiro will continue a..."

"Board of Peace officials announced plans to train and deploy a new 5,000-member 'transitional' Palestinian police force in Gaza within 60 days from the February 19, 2026 announceme..."

Changpeng Zhao

Cryptocurrency

KEPT

"Aster, the decentralized perpetual futures exchange backed by Binance founder Changpeng Zhao, has confirmed the launch of its dedicated Aster Chain Layer-1 mainnet in March 2026. T..."

Michael Selig

Political

BROKEN

"CFTC Chairman Michael Selig promised that the pending crypto market structure bill moving through Congress would make the United States the 'gold standard' for digital asset regula..."

Changpeng Zhao

Cryptocurrency

KEPT

"Binance plans to add over 100 compliance officers by the end of March 2026 as part of broader commitment to meet global regulatory standards amid regulatory scrutiny."

Paul Chan Mo-po

Cryptocurrency

BROKEN

"Hong Kong Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po confirmed during the 2026-27 Budget Speech that Hong Kong will issue its first batch of stablecoin issuer licenses in March 2026 under..."

"CNBC announced that 2026 Disruptor 50 honorees will be notified in March, with the list released in May across CNBC's TV, digital and social platforms. The deadline for submissions..."