Tesla FSD Safety Above Human by 2021

BROKEN
"Tesla Full Self-Driving will work at a safety level well above that of the average driver this year, of that I am confident."
Made
Jan 1, 2021
Deadline
Dec 31, 2021

Context

Musk predicted FSD would exceed human safety levels by the end of 2021.

3

Prediction Market

Market resolved

Resolved: Broken
Promise Breakers Won!
KEEP BREAK
37% 63%
Total Pool
114,003 SLING
Stakers
25
Resolved
Jan 30, 2026
Odds History
Keep Break

This market has been resolved and is now closed.

Comments (0)

Sign in to join the discussion

No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!

More from Elon Musk

Elon Musk

Elon Musk

Tech & Product

STAKE BROKEN
"We're going to end up with complete autonomy, and I think we will have complete autonomy in approximately two years."
Made: Dec 21, 2015 Deadline: Dec 21, 2017
3 0
Elon Musk

Elon Musk

Tech & Product

STAKE BROKEN
"By the end of next year...Tesla would demonstrate a fully autonomous drive from a home in L.A. to Times Square...without the need for a single touch, including the charging."
Made: Oct 19, 2016 Deadline: Dec 31, 2017
3 0
Elon Musk

Elon Musk

Tech & Product

STAKE BROKEN
"You'll be able to sleep in your Tesla on the move two years from now."
Made: Apr 28, 2017 Deadline: Apr 28, 2019
4 0